Timesman Writes Ho-Hum About CES.

The annual Consumer Electronics Show in Vegas has come and gone. Much of the luster has worn off the CES, since it is no longer the venue for blockbuster product releases on the part of the tech biggies. Apple and the others have decided that it makes a lot more marketing sense to stage their own roll-outs, in which they are the Beginning, Middle and End. And why risk the possibility of an awkward comparisons between YourCo’s newly rolled-out gadget and the OtherGuyCo’s really much better piece of gear being shown two doors down. David Pogue is the tech writer for the New York Times and is generally well-informed and sensible in what he writes. His view of this year’s CES is that it was really not very exciting.  It was a big show; it always is. But it seems to have been a lot of More of the Same, a lot more and really, really the same.  Maybe tech is on its way to become a “mature business”.  That is one in which the early phases of innovation and the sense of break-through give way to More of the Same, which is good, because that’s what the business is about, reliably selling the Same.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/17/technology/personaltech/imagining-ho-hum-ces-as-an-action-movie-state-of-the-art.html?_r=0

 

 

Authors Spinning Clinical Trials Results?

Yes, if you believe the result of a recent review, published in the Annals of Oncology recently. The authors surveyed a large number of clinical trial reports and found out that researchers tended to downplay the seriousness of side effects, even omitting any mention of them in some instances. Investigators also tended to exaggerate secondary findings, which were not part of the study design and could be traced to chance.

http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/14/clinical-trials-flawed-by-biased-reporting/

 

Where Did The “Big Bang” Come From?

I mean the phrase. I am not qualified to opine on matters cosmological. A scholar at Cornell has spent some time tracing the origin of that phrase and has released the results on the arXiv preprint server.  It certainly is one of the best examples of successful name-giving in science. Everybody who watches PBS or the Discovery Channel must have heard the term a thousand times.  We all take it for granted. But there was a time when there were no words to describe this phenomenon, which, I think exists because it’s pointed to by other evidence. Observations don’t make sense  unless you posit the BB at the beginning. But there I go, violating my own rules again. OK. I’ll be quiet.

http://arxiv.org/abs/1301.0219

Counting Down To Nothing.

Well, it’s almost here. The Great Day. The Last Page. Yup, the Mayan calendar is supposed to run out, what, tonight? Tomorrow? Yes, all the prophets are lined up in their pointy hats, and all the Doomsday preppers are checking their larders to see if maybe they should add another case of beef jerky or, more important, buy a couple more rifles/shotguns/mortars/bazookas. Well, they are  part of a long, long tradition. Making book on the end of the world has been  around about as long as it took  OG, the stoneager, to figure out that some of his fellow cave dwellers weren’t too smart, and that he could make his own life a lot easier by off-loading some of his work onto them, while he entered Dream Time and communed with the Spirit of the Lion, Antelope or whatever spirits happened to be around and feel like talking, or ‘talking’, since I can’t imagine real spirits just sitting around someplace and gassing, like a bunch of geezers in front of some pot-bellied stove.  The Economist has a story and also a very nice chart detailing several of the major apocalyptic movements and prophets, most of whom didn’t last too long. If you give too-detailed predicitions about The End, and it doesn’t happen, that sort of shakes your credibility. Fortunately, though, most of the Flock will still swallow some ‘re-interpretation’ of the Message, so you’ll probably be OK.  Way back in the Middle Ages, quite a few such movements got started, and stopped, because the authorities were very unhappy about crowds of folk moving around the countryside yelling about this or that. The medieval states were what the Poli Sci crowd calls ‘weak states’. There was a limit to what authority could do, and uprisings had to be dealt with swiftly or they could make real trouble. The ‘strong’ states of today are more tolerant but not all of them. China, for example, is really anxious about one Christian sect that claims Christ has returned in the form of a woman and is in hiding in China, and the end is just around the corner. Since much of the Chinese leadership’s working day is taken up with ensuring ‘stability’, meaning that everybody is supposed to be working and not asking inconvenient questions, any kind of millennialist preaching is upsetting.   Many Chinese saw the movie 2012 and too many started taking it seriously. But, a buck’s a buck and the more entrepreneurial are relieving their fellows of rather large sums on what looks very much like DoomsDay  Prepping in the Middle Kingdom: ball-shaped pods that float, houseboats that will rise in the flood, beef jerkey, and all the rest of the necessities. Hey, they’re gonna buy it from somebody, so they might as well buy it from me. The group in question plays pretty rough. Some observers call it a racket, pure and simple. The gummint doesn’t like some of the preaching either, which describes the fall of the the Great Red Dragon. Hmmmmm…..I wonder what they’re talking about. They won’t be the first or the last to talk themelves into a long stretch behind barbed wire out west in the Gobi desert someplace.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/20/world/asia/doomsday-chatter-makes-chinese-government-nervous.html?partner=rssemc=rss&_r=0

http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2012/12/daily-chart-11

 

Discoveries In 2012.

As the year rushes to its close, a predictable feature is the appearance of “year in review”  programs. This is good for the broadcasters and other such because they already have the footage, and they just re-run whatever portions needed to fill air time. Other outlets do something similar: Ten Best this or that. You know. Wired News is featuring a post on the Top Scientific Discoveries of the year, and I think their selection was pretty good. Everybody would give the nod to the account of what may be first real indication that the so-called Higgs boson has been experimentally detected. If you are a particle physicist, this is good news. If you are not, it’s still good news, because the discovery implies that researchers have really puzzled out the way things work and don’t have to start over again. The so-called Standard Model with its tweaks, is correct. Physicists are being very shy about putting too much weight on this right now, lest the ice give way and all that. But it was news, really.  Genome science got a boost also, as researchers came to the somewhat surprising conclusion that a very large number of human heritable diseases are due to random and relatively recent mutations. Natural Selection has not had time to eliminate them yet.  Mars exploration got a nod from the Wired pickers. That one was well-deserved, surely.  The operation went well and the lander was deposited on the Martian surface ‘right prettily’ as they used to say. Ingenious design, meticulous care, dedicate people working hard help pushed this tricky  program over the top. The little guy is still up there doing the job. In all, not a bad year at all.

http://www.wired.com/

The story is in the left hand column, in Image Gallery,.

 

 

Pearl Harbor Anniversary.

On this day in 1941 carrier-based Japanese naval aircraft attacked the US Navy’s base at Pearl Harbor in the Hawaiian Islands. This action was designed to cripple American intervention in Japan’s plan to seize territories in Southeast Asia that were good sources of raw materials for its industry, and to realize plans for a much greater Japanese Empire, to destroy the colonial empires of the European nations which in the case of the Dutch East Indies had existed for more than three centuries.The Pearl Harbor raid brought, dragged rather, the USA into the Second World War. Hitler obligingly declared war on America three days later, and the USA was in it up to the hilt. War has its own logic, and matters developed in ways none of the belligerents could have foreseen or wanted. And we deal even now with the consequences of those developments.  The immediate result of the Pearl Harbor attack was  the loss of  several large ships, and damage to many more, in addition to almost three thousand casualties. Japanese forces swept over the Philippines, the Dutch East Indies (now Indonesia), important Pacific island bases, Burma, Hong Kong and Malaya, capturing the British base at Singapore. But those months were only the prelude to a long, bloody struggle that came close, at times. to a war of extermination. It all started on this day in 1941.

  

Happy Holiday.

I wish all our readers a very safe and happy Thanksgiving Day, and urge all  to drive carefully, avoid overeating, avoid discussing politics and the recent election. When we take a quick look at the world around us, we have a lot for which we can be truly thankful

 

The Petraeus Case Email Records.

This won’t take long. It’s just a link that adds a follow-up to the story about the downfall of CIA Director and four-star general David Petraeus. The link goes to a story about the extent of Federal intrusion into online documents.

http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2012/11/petraeus-downfall-illustrates-scope-of-feds-e-mail-snooping-powers/

Gummints world-wide are asking Google to turn over data on what users in the respective countries are doing online.  Do you want to bet which gummint is in the lead in such requests for user info?  In fact, this gummint’s requests exceed the requests of  all other gummints combined!  It has to be some place that hates freedom, right?  Well I guess that depends.  (Hums) hm hm hm mh mh mhhhhhh, hm hm m m hmmm hmmm.  You hear it played and sung at ball games and stuff. But don’t take that ‘freedom’ stuff too seriously. I don’t think the people there do.

http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2012/11/us-gets-more-google-user-data-than-all-other-countries-combined/

Random House/Penguin Tie The Knot.

It’s official. Two of the largest publishers left standing around will merger their identities into a new company. I’ll spare you the corporate boiler plate about  how excited everyone is at the new situation and all the challenges it will bring. My, yes!  Random House is a favorite of mine, for purely sentimental reasons. There is nothing sentimental about the publishing biz, but never mind. RH at one time produced high-quality editions of important books, well bound, nicely laid out, with good type face, and all for the sum of one dollar. That was, as you can easily tell, a very long time ago.The books formed part of what was called The Modern Library, and the project was the brainchild of RH president, Bennett Cerf. Cerf suspected that more people would read good books if the  price were lower and the quality still pretty high.  RH was a pretty good house, but it was absorbed by the German conglomerate Bertelsmann, and run as a fief. Now the Germans want to get rid of it.  Pearson, in the UK, is also a publishing conglom and it wants to get rid of Penguin too, so a kind of shotgun wedding was arranged.  Penguin got started back in the 1930s as a publisher of paperback books. It published classics, detective stories, fiction, travel pieces.  In later  years, the house went on to publish in hard back and expanded the line considerably. I don’t know what the new outfit will be called, but I wish them, it, well.  It seems like the last stand of the cavalry in Fort Apache.  http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/29/pearson-bertelsmann-confi_n_2038108.html?utm_hp_ref=books

A Festival Of Windows 8 Reviews.

Feast or famine; that’s usually the best way to describe the literature surrounding the launch of any new digital product. First comes the Spec & Hype wagon rolling down the street, driven by various ‘observers’ and ‘experts’. This is usually pre-launch and peri-launch designed to generate buzz during the run-up period. But there is no hard information and the actual gadget or product is kept firmly out of the hands of those who might really test it and say rude things about it. This S&H period can last for several days or even weeks before anything like real testing happens. But, it seems that the usual pattern is not being followed in the case of Windows 8. Microsoft did release copies of it to some techie writers, probably with some kind o “Shhhhhh” , and some rather detailed reviews of the product are appearing.. The techno web site “Ars Technica” has a five card straight of reviews appearing today, and that’s rather a lot of material this early in the game.  Windows 8 is a very big deal in Softwaredom, and the implications for Microsoft are significant.

http://arstechnica.com/